Greater than 9 in 10 arts and tradition jobs within the West Finish might be misplaced if London is subjected to repeated lockdowns and social distancing measures, it’s claimed.
Nickie Aiken, Conservative MP for Cities of London and Westminster, outlined various grim situations dealing with the capital’s cultural coronary heart throughout a debate on Tuesday.
She cited an unreleased report by the Coronary heart of London Enterprise Alliance — the physique representing companies buying and selling within the West Finish — which has modelled the doable long-term impacts of the coronavirus pandemic.
It warns that the realm’s world-renowned arts and tradition sector, together with theatres and stay music venues, can be devastated by additional lockdowns and long-term guidelines on social distancing.
Within the worst case situation, employment would plunge by as a lot as 95 per cent by 2024.
Opening the Westminster Corridor debate, Ms Aiken mentioned: “They’ve modelled 4 situations and the expected impression on the economic system output for the humanities and tradition within the West Finish.
“State of affairs one is repeated lockdowns, situation two is strict guidelines and social distancing in place, situation three is seasonal covid with occasional softer social distancing remaining and eventually situation 4 is a return to normality which I feel all of us want for.
“For the humanities and cultural sector, situations one and two is modelled to have very related outcomes. Employment within the sector within the West Finish would fall by 95 per cent by 2024.
“Even in the perfect circumstances of a return to normality the humanities and cultural sector is projected to provide solely ten per cent much less in ’24 than in 2019. These fashions do make for difficult studying.”
Producer Sir Cameron Waterproof coat has already mentioned that Hamilton, Les Miserables, Mary Poppins and The Phantom Of The Opera won’t return to the West Finish till 2021.
Ms Aiken mentioned theatres, stay music and cultural venues want “clear signposting” as to when they are going to be capable of reopen.
The MP praised companies together with the Barbican Centre for managing to function below present restrictions, and praised Lord Andrew Lloyd Webber for “heroic” motion within the battle to reopen theatres.
After thanking ministers for his or her assist of the humanities through the pandemic, Ms Aiken urged them to supply extra reduction to the sector.
She mentioned: “I’d encourage the Authorities to proceed funding jobs in sectors which stay unable to recuperate due to the restrictions in place.
“As these companies have remained closed – on account of no fault of their very own – they are going to seemingly lose all entry to present assist measures when the furlough scheme ends.
“The sector has been vastly grateful for the assist to this point however it does must proceed. I’d ask that the minister persuade the Treasury as soon as once more to reassess the assist it provides the self-employed as many within the sector are freelance and work in a mix of self-employed and employed roles relying on their contract and the employer.
“Too many have gone with none assist in any respect, present authorities assist has been extra centered on salaried employees and there’s a fear that freelancers will drop out of their career and that may result in a scarcity of experience once we are again up and operating.”
She additionally known as on the Authorities to increase the VAT discount of 5 per cent for not less than three years, and for the introduction of a Authorities backed insurance coverage scheme for stay music theatre and efficiency.
Ministers have already pledged a £1.57 billion rescue bundle to assist Britain’s cultural, arts and heritage establishments climate the impression of coronavirus.